Kerala floods match climate change forecasts, worse to come

The floods in Kerala jolted the state as many people lost their lives. Now, the climate scientists warned that worse is to come if global warming continues unabated.


According to the meteorologists, the monsoon rains upon which farmers in the southwestern state depend for their food and livelihoods dumped two-and-a-half times the normal amount of water across the state last week.




Roxy Mathew Koll, a climate scientist at the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology in Pashan said, “It is difficult to attribute any single extreme weather event — such as the Kerala flooding — to climate change.”


At the same time, “our recent research shows a three-fold increase in widespread extreme rains during 1950-2017, leading to large-scale flooding,” he told AFP.


“These floods that we are seeing in Kerala right now are basically in line with climate projections,” said Kira Vinke, a scientist at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research in Germany.


“If we continue with current levels of emissions — which is not unlikely — we will have unmanageable risks,” she told AFP.

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