In what can be called news awaited by the whole nation, the government-appointed committee stated that India is likely to have already passed the peak of the coronavirus pandemic in September. According to the analysis, the caseload data from September 17 to September 30 indicates that India may have passed its COVID-19 peak 97,894 cases being the highest recorded daily load.
Adding that the government and public should continue to stay alert, the study revealed that the corona epidemic is likely to end by February 2021. While India has so far recorded more than 7.5 million cases, the panel affirmed that the country will not see not more than 10.6 million cases by the time the epidemic ends.
These were preliminary results of the government modelling study and the detailed results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal next week. However, many questions on the forecast made by the panel, though, remained unanswered. The panel did not answer as to why the cases are falling from the past few days.
The study came hours after the union health ministry reports claiming the increase in recovery rate to 88.03 per cent, while the death rate fell to 1.53 per cent. While India has seen a decline of 35 per cent since its peak, Americas have seen an increase of over 16 per cent and Europe, in fact, has seen a surge of over 150 per cent in the number of daily cases.